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Week in FX Asia ? Abe's Cohorts Will Stand In The Way Of A Rising Yen

So far it seems that hedge funds have been well positioned to profit from the yen's move, while real-money investors have mostly missed out on this ?outright' 15% decline over the last three months and a 25% fall against the EUR since the summer. The real-investor seems to have been too hung up on the EUR and its periphery concerns. The fact that the yen crosses remain under pressure, despite the BoJ falling somewhat short of expectations earlier this week, is strong proof that the Central...

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Is The Real Money Investor Missing Out On The Yen's Decline'

Is there a strong ?silent' currency war in play' If so, the real investor needs to be officially invited so they can avoid betting against Central Banks this year. Looking at the yen, it remains one of the surest bets! Yesterday, the dollar managed to record its largest one-day rise against the currency from the ?rising sun' in 13-months. The yen weakness was again mostly fuelled by stoic comments from the Japanese Vice-Finance minister Nakao, who indicated that ?appropriate action' would be...

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NZD / CAD ? Weaker CAD Post BOC push price above 12 month high

Bank of Canada held its reference rate steady at 1.0% as expected. But the accompanying statement was much more dovish than expected, in line with falling inflation rate which has dropped to 0.8% in November, a new low for 2012. GDP is also seen struggling in Q3 posting 0.1% growth Q/Q. On hindsight, a dovish tone should not have shocked the market given the dismal data. However BOC has maintained a hawkish stance for most part of 2012 due to concerns over high household debt. Household debt...

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Week in FX Americas ? US Economic Data Mixed as Debt Ceiling Looms

Earlier this week, there was some negative news about global growth prospects from the World Bank. In its Global Economic Prospects report, which is issued twice a year, the prestigious institution said that global growth in 2013 would post a gain of 2.4%. This was down from the 3.0% estimate the World Bank stated in its June 2012 report. In explaining its downgrade, the World Bank noted persistent weaknesses in the economies of developed nations, citing austerity measures, high unemployment...

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